The Coming Federal Election.

[Barron's Dream]

I have mail that Dutton's seat is polling closer than he'd like, with some polls suggesting Labor's gonna flip it this time around.

Seems unlikely but I'm sorta curious what the Libs would do if they won but Dutton got kicked out with some sorta protest vote going against him. Hopefully he gets punted unceremoniously, with the Libs copping a wayward falcon in the process... similar to Dutton's recent attempt with a Sherrin

You have mail?! lol what a fool

[Jacks Fur Coat]

You have mail?! lol what a fool

His mail isn't real good. Pistol will win his seat. The one in trouble in his seat is Blackout Bowen, very unpopular. A great asset - for the Coalition.

[ism22]

Libs are spending $10,000+ a day (significantly more than any other seat) trying to make sure Dutton holds onto it.

Quite hilarious... apparently a combo of him p!ssing off during the cyclone, saying he's happy to have nuclear power plants there (despite the risk of cyclone damage to them) and reliance on trying to copy Trump's style/messaging has turned people off him.

I've blocked old mate but can guarantee that if the Libs were confident in a win, he'd have 100 boastful threads like he did for the referendum.

Difference between his 'win' with the reference and election pitch are that in one case he just had to change sides at last minute and spook people outta backing a reform through confusion/FUD/lies. In this case he's gotta prove his policy of sucking up to Trump's gonna help Australia's economy, during a time when it's pretty frigging clear that Trump's royally buggered the whole thing up.

It was a nice story that 'I woulda secured a tariff concession... Albo is weak' until it became apparent that Trump's a madman who's opting for the 'I am the dictator and want everybody to beg me for concessions' approach. Suddenly it becomes apparent to all that ignoring the orange coloured clown (while making it clear he's talking shyte & has rejected a completely logical argument) is the only viable option.

[Paddo Colt 61]

That's because you're not in the cult.

Tune into any Murdoch media outlet on any given day and you'll quickly notice a predictable loop: anything positive is credited to Trump, anything negative is blamed on his opponents, and anyone who dares to present facts that reflect poorly on him is swiftly accused of suffering from "Trump derangement syndrome."

It's whistling in the dark now for the LNP. Game heading in the wrong direction entirely, even News is cooling and will soon, probably, do Dutts in, in an attempt to curry some favour from a new ALP government for being "even-handed" in its coverage.

The Libs have looked, all along, as though they're leaving the campaigning to Murdoch but Pete, so far, hasn't given News much red meat to ballyhoo. Ridiculing Albo's stage mishap doesn't cut it when the drongos have had the frighteners applied by Trump's, incomprehensible to them, behaviour. Ironically, it was Trump's populist success that the Tories/News hoped to emulate and exploit. but the Trump factor is now dead in the water and the Tories have no clothes.

"Policies" that have been released have little or no accompanying data and certainly no costings. That hasn't usually bothered Murdoch, it didn't when he got Abbott and Scummo up, but this time there seems to be much less enthusiasm for Duts, probably because other media has pointed out that, typically, LNP policies like the Housing one, favour the rich.

[mightyrooster]

That's because you're not in the cult.

Tune into any Murdoch media outlet on any given day and you'll quickly notice a predictable loop: anything positive is credited to Trump, anything negative is blamed on his opponents, and anyone who dares to present facts that reflect poorly on him is swiftly accused of suffering from "Trump derangement syndrome."

Apparently I’m a sufferer of TDS however.

[Random Rooster]

His mail isn't real good. Pistol will win his seat. The one in trouble in his seat is Blackout Bowen, very unpopular. A great asset - for the Coalition.

We both love a wager....make of it what you will........


Chris Bowen seat of McMahon








Peter Dutton set of Dickson

[Jacks Fur Coat]

We both love a wager....make of it what you will........


Chris Bowen seat of McMahon








Peter Dutton set of Dickson

Wow, seriously? I might have to find a pineapple at those odds for McMahon. I had a small wager on a Coalition majority today at $18. Before you ridicule the proposition I do expect the polls/bookies to tighten the odds on the Libs moving into Easter. Based on the budget speeches/details and the 3 debates I think the polls might start to reflect an evening up. And if, perchance, they did get to a minority government situation it shows a big swing which wouldn't take much to convert to majority . So just the odds really as opposed to $4.75 for any victory. Of course I could be very wrong, so consequently didn't mortgage the farm. The only advice I ever give to a starry eyed prospective punter is to always back your judgement...cos that's something that no-one else has.

[Random Rooster]

Wow, seriously? I might have to find a pineapple at those odds for McMahon. I had a small wager on a Coalition majority today at $18. Before you ridicule the proposition I do expect the polls/bookies to tighten the odds on the Libs moving into Easter. Based on the budget speeches/details and the 3 debates I think the polls might start to reflect an evening up. And if, perchance, they did get to a minority government situation it shows a big swing which wouldn't take much to convert to majority . So just the odds really as opposed to $4.75 for any victory. Of course I could be very wrong, so consequently didn't mortgage the farm. The only advice I ever give to a starry eyed prospective punter is to always back your judgement...cos that's something that no-one else has.

As my favourite race caller Ian Craig would always say " odds on look on".....so i wont ridicule your proposition. In fact i love betting small for a chance of winning big. I agree, the $4.75 offered by Ladbrokes looks way overs because its going to be closer than that.

Nice to agree with you on something other than our love of the Roosters

[Jacks Fur Coat]

As my favourite race caller Ian Craig would always say " odds on look on".....so i wont ridicule your proposition. In fact i love betting small for a chance of winning big. I agree, the $4.75 offered by Ladbrokes looks way overs because its going to be closer than that.

Nice to agree with you on something other than our love of the Roosters

We agree on something else. Ian Craig was my favourite race caller too, the best who modern day callers try to be.

[ism22]

As my favourite race caller Ian Craig would always say " odds on look on".....so i wont ridicule your proposition. In fact i love betting small for a chance of winning big. I agree, the $4.75 offered by Ladbrokes looks way overs because its going to be closer than that.

Nice to agree with you on something other than our love of the Roosters

So $2.62 for Dutton to retain his own seat and $4.75 for the Libs to win the election?

I'm not the expert here but I suspect old mate's Lib party friends (who whimsically call him up asking whether he wants to travel around town with Lib party signs... as you do on a Sunday... ay) might have some inside knowledge about what their internal polling's saying.

[Barron's Dream]

So $2.62 for Dutton to retain his own seat and $4.75 for the Libs to win the election?

I'm not the expert here but I suspect old mate's Lib party friends (who whimsically call him up asking whether he wants to travel around town with Lib party signs... as you do on a Sunday... ay) might have some inside knowledge about what their internal polling's saying.

lol

[Jacks Fur Coat]

This was both embarrassing and amusing. Albo and Plibber can't stand each other. But it's almost a Latham handshake moment. Felt sorry for Plibber. Even though I dont like her policy positions, she seems like a decent person.


https://youtu.be/YKzx1XHch9g?si=bWEKB2wZeSMRkM6H

[caz]

This was both embarrassing and amusing. Albo and Plibber can't stand each other. But it's almost a Latham handshake moment. Felt sorry for Plibber. Even though I dont like her policy positions, she seems like a decent person.


https://youtu.be/YKzx1XHch9g?si=bWEKB2wZeSMRkM6H

hardly a pivotal moment in the campaign and to be fair the coalition has had its share of internal rivalries. plibersek and albo is nothing compared to howard and peacock or turnbull and abbot. dutton's been safe this term because the party was routed at the last election and there's not much talent left.

[Jacks Fur Coat]

hardly a pivotal moment in the campaign and to be fair the coalition has had its share of internal rivalries. plibersek and albo is nothing compared to howard and peacock or turnbull and abbot. dutton's been safe this term because the party was routed at the last election and there's not much talent left.

Fish n chip paper mate. Stop livin in the past.

[Jacks Fur Coat]

I think the thing that really pisses me off about Albanese is how he gets the soft, red carpet treatment from the media. The little slimeball never gets the baseless allegations of being anti-women that Mr Dutton does. He's got the "mean girls" bullying drama that he was never held to account over; his knifing of Julia Gillard for Krudd (who he still runs cover for) and now the awful physical rebuff of one of his senior female cabinet ministers - simply because he is threatened by a strong woman presence.

Can you imagine, for a second, what the media ( and Albanese) would be doing to Mr. Dutton if the roles were reversed?