How Safe are these bets?

[witty92]

I've made about $60 in bets with a mate of mine who supports Manly and wondering what you think my odds are to win:

1. Cronulla vs. Brisbane tonight, I put $5 on Brisbane with him giving me 2:1 odds so i stand to win $10

2. Manly won't make the Grand Final, $20 On that

3. Roosters won't win the spoon, $10 on that

4. Storm won't make the top 3, $20 on that

Honestly i think ill at least win 2 of these 4, namely 2 and 4

[OMR]

You were dudded on the Broncos odds.
You'll collect on the rest.

[witty92]

fortunately after i lost the first one i was given double or nothin on queensland winning state of origin, so now we're back to even.