Reality - We're farked

[The Lip]

It's not impossible. I new a guy once who picked the Melb cup winner 14 years in a row.

Ha - your man is 1 in a million mate. Actually to be more precise he is one in 1,523,257,251,360,760 to 1. Now this took some googling but that is 1 quad trillion 523 trillion 257 billion 251 million 360 thousand and 760 to 1. Thats the odds using the last 14 Cup winners in picking them all in a row. I think he might be full of shit mate.

[The Lip]

Ha - your man is 1 in a million mate. Actually to be more precise he is one in 1,523,257,251,360,760 to 1. Now this took some googling but that is 1 quad trillion 523 trillion 257 billion 251 million 360 thousand and 760 to 1. Thats the odds using the last 14 Cup winners in picking them all in a row. I think he might be full of shit mate.

but just in case he is not please tell us who he is on come the first tuesday in November!

[The Lip]

hes dead now.

sorry just saw this bit, might be hard to get his tip this year.

[Mickie Lane]

sorry just saw this bit, might be hard to get his tip this year.

Is that you on the left in your avatar picture?

[The Lip]

If it was Mickey i wouldn't leave the house, i'd just stay at home every day - you know what im sayn dawg!

[Mickie Lane]

If it was Mickey i wouldn't leave the house, i'd just stay at home every day - you know what im sayn dawg!

Wonder if Pearcy gets repeat sets with her?

[The Lip]

Wonder if Pearcy gets repeat sets with her?

feels like we are walking a pretty fine line here Mickey - im out.

[Darkone]

Answering a question from another post.

NO we are not a chance, absolutely no farking chance. No top 4 and possibly miss the 8.

We have played 1 game ALL YEAR for the entire 80 mins - parra. Thats it.

This year it's between the following:

1. storm
2. Sharks
3. Manly
4. Broncos


The rest just arent tough enough, fast enough, or just plain good enough.


Lets get serious here, we all knew 2017 was gonna be 2016 just added with more wins by under 4 points than losses. No go forward (ALL YEAR). Liu is sleep walking. Well Guerra is Guerra. Evans is a marshmallow, JWH no discipline, NAPA obviously purely an origin player now. Friend has no farking idea.

WHY DO WE STRUGGLE TO REACH OUR 30 /40 PLAYING A SET OFF OUR LINE (because opps have line speed. Has anyone noticed our line speed - exactly none cause we are happy to allow teams to eat 10 or so metres with every play. We have no line speed.

WORST OF ALL - OUR COACH STRONGLY FEELS THAT CORDNER DESERVES TO PLAY ORIGIN 3, EVEN IF ONLY 70-80% fit. What the fark. We could lose him for another 4-6 weeks. He could fark up his ankle over compensating for a farked calf.

Actually not far wrong PG

You picked the top 4 not including us

I took the bits out you were wrong about & left what is still relevant

Resting Napa with Liu vast improvement since, plus a recovered Cordner has addressed your main concerns.

[rented tracksuit]

Ha - your man is 1 in a million mate. Actually to be more precise he is one in 1,523,257,251,360,760 to 1. Now this took some googling but that is 1 quad trillion 523 trillion 257 billion 251 million 360 thousand and 760 to 1. Thats the odds using the last 14 Cup winners in picking them all in a row. I think he might be full of shit mate.

I don't really feel the need to justify it but he was in the game so had a LOT of inside info.

[The Lip]

I don't really feel the need to justify it but he was in the game so had a LOT of inside info.

Not having a go at you mate just at the accuracy of the information you have. That is actually the probability(1,523,257,251,360,760 to 1) of doing what your man has claimed to do if we take the last 14 cups winners odds which would be give a take a billion if it wasn't exactly that 14 cups. If he did i hope he took it all up! Now if he was having 5 bets a cup on five different horses then those odds diminish significantly but still it's in the billions to 1(3.44 billion to 1 if you assume each horse has equal chance of winning which they don't so let's just call it a billion to 1 because he was in the game! ). I just don't think he did what you say he did or at least not in the way you portray it ie picked the winner in 14 cups in a row whilst just picking 1 pick a cup. I'm not asking you to justify it btw but should you feel inclined - that would be fun!

[rented tracksuit]

Not having a go at you mate just at the accuracy of the information you have. That is actually the probability(1,523,257,251,360,760 to 1) of doing what your man has claimed to do if we take the last 14 cups winners odds which would be give a take a billion if it wasn't exactly that 14 cups. If he did i hope he took it all up! Now if he was having 5 bets a cup on five different horses then those odds diminish significantly but still it's in the billions to 1(3.44 billion to 1 if you assume each horse has equal chance of winning which they don't so let's just call it a billion to 1 because he was in the game! ). I just don't think he did what you say he did or at least not in the way you portray it ie picked the winner in 14 cups in a row whilst just picking 1 pick a cup. I'm not asking you to justify it btw but should you feel inclined - that would be fun!

You can have a go at me if you want. Everyone else does so it would be nothing new.

i didn't actually read all of what you posted as I know what happened and don't need to prove anything to anyone.

[The Lip]

You can have a go at me if you want. Everyone else does so it would be nothing new.

i didn't actually read all of what you posted as I know what happened and don't need to prove anything to anyone.

too many big numbers?

[rented tracksuit]

too many big numbers?

Nah, Not having a go at you mate but just can't be bothered really.

[The Lip]

Nah, Not having a go at you mate but just can't be bothered really.

Fair enough, never argue with idiots hey, they just drag you down to their level then beat you with experience.

You'd reckon he could have bought you a tracksuit though with all those winnings.

[rented tracksuit]

Fair enough, never argue with idiots hey, they just drag you down to their level then beat you with experience.

You'd reckon he could have bought you a tracksuit though with all those winnings.

Yeah, that's why I'm not bothering to argue with you. It's great that you understand that rather than going down the path of firing back and forth.

Oh and btw, I never said he won anything but you would know that cause you are not an idiot.